It's time for the final Freshman Scorecard of the year! Despite upfronts being in just two weeks, a surprisingly low number of freshman shows know their fate. As always, these are ranked from best to worst chance of survival. If interested, check out April's scorecard or last May's scorecard.
ABC
Once Upon a Time/Revenge/Suburgatory - Sure thing renewals.
Last Man Standing - I had this in the top group last month and I still think it is extremely likely to get renewed. But at the same time it hasn't done itself any favors in the last month. Instead of a 100% chance, put it at a 98% chance.
Don't Trust the B---- in Apartment 23 - This is the Happy Endings of this year. I fully expect ABC to renew this even if the ratings are only ok over the next couple weeks. Plus with them likely renewing Endings for a third season, this is a perfect partner somewhere next year.
Scandal - ABC seems to want this show to work too and right now, I think it has an edge over GCB for a renewal thanks to its consistency and more acclaim.
GCB - GCB is not out of the race by any means. ABC would love for it to be the heir apparent to Desperate Housewives but it's not being overly impressive critically or in the ratings. I'd give it a 60/40 chance right now.
Celebrity Wife Swap - Could be a filler again next year.
Missing - Very unlikely even with decent total viewer numbers.
The River/Pan Am/You Deserve It - Unofficially cancelled.
Work It/Man Up!/Charlie's Angels - Officially cancelled.
CBS
2 Broke Girls/Person of Interest - Officially renewed.
Rob - This all depends on what CBS decides to do with Rules of Engagement and expanding comedy. I've been souring on its chances in recent months.
Unforgettable - This one is not coming back. CBS has too many dramas.
A Gifted Man - Even less of a chance than Unforgettable.
NYC 22 - Dead on arrival with its late debut like Miami Medical and Chaos the past two years.
How to Be a Gentleman - Officially cancelled.
NBC
Grimm/Smash - Officially renewed.
Betty White's Off Their Rockers - This show is doing ok enough as a self starter on Wednesday nights. NBC can use it as a filler but I wouldn't overdo it.
Whitney - The more I see NBC's lineup tank, the more I think this one comes back especially if NBC goes in a multicamera direction.
Up All Night - I don't think this is coming back. NBC can't renew all its low-rated sitcoms and they have the least ties to this one.
Fashion Star/Rock Center with Brian Williams/Are You There, Chelsea?/Awake/Bent/The Firm/Best Friends Forever - None of these shows have been officially cancelled but NBC needs an overhaul and doesn't need to keep dead weight like these shows around. And I don't think they will.
Prime Suspect/Free Agents/The Playboy Club - Officially cancelled.
FOX
The X-Factor/New Girl - Officially renewed.
Touch - This show is hardly being impressive on Thursday nights but FOX is in dire straits with its drama so it wouldn't shock me to see them give it one more chance.
Napoleon Dynamite - Still could snag a renewal especially with no new animated sitcoms on tap.
Alcatraz/The Finder - Very very unlikely to return.
Q'Viva: The Chosen/I Hate My Teenage Daughter - Unofficially cancelled.
Terra Nova/Allen Gregory - Officially cancelled.
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