Friday, February 1, 2013

FRESHMAN SCORECARD: February 2013

Time for the Freshman Scorecard! As always, these are ranked based on my opinions of best to worst chance of survival. If interested, check out last month's scorecard as well as past February scorecards from 2012 and 2011. By the time the March scorecard rolls around, we'll be able to add CBS's The Job and Golden Boy and ABC's Zero Hour to the lists!

ABC

Nashville - I think the numbers continue to be disappointing but ABC seems very behind this show and they pretty much have to be with the way their freshmen have gone. I can't imagine them not giving it a second season.

Malibu Country - This show seems to rise and fall but I still think the Friday night slot will be its saving grace where the pressure is lower.

The Neighbors - I would say this show has overperformed all year long yet I'm still not sure it'll get a renewal. It's right on the edge.

The Taste - It had a solid premiere but tumbled in week two and I think it's going to continue to fall.

Last Resort/666 Park Avenue - Cancelled


CBS

Elementary - It will surely see a series high on Sunday after the Super Bowl and I think it CBS hands out early renewals like last year, this will be one of them.

Vegas - It rose to its highest level in months on Tuesday but that was only a 1.9 demo. This show really needs Golden Boy to fail.

Made in Jersey/Partners - Cancelled

NBC

Revolution - It doesn't return until March and it would have to fall real hard to not get a second season.

Chicago Fire - The biggest overperformer of any new show - this show has done better than anyone expected and is all but assured a second season.

Go On - Its numbers have collapsed without The Voice lead-in but I think NBC will still save this show and its numbers will surely get better when The Voice returns. I also think NBC's not going to cancel all their comedies so this one has the best shot.

Guys with Kids - The only hope for this show is that NBC decides to aggressively go for multi-cam sitcoms in the fall then it stands a chance, a very small chance.

The New Normal - This show has collapsed even worse than Go On and it's doing worse than most Wednesday and Thursday shows. NBC wants this to work but I think they'll pull the plug at the end of the season.

1600 Penn - This show is off to a real weak start on Thursday nights and I have a feeling every Thursday show except Parks and Recreation will be gone with The Office and 30 Rock ending.

Do No Harm - I have not seen any ratings yet for this show but I don't think it's going to survive based on the reviews and the timeslot.

Take it All - It could come back for another holiday run but I doubt it.

Deception - This show doesn't stand a chance. NBC has enough dramas working that this Monday flop will probably run its course until Revolution comes back and then disappear.

Animal Practice - Cancelled

FOX

The Following - FOX's newest entry is off to a roaring start with a strong debut and then growth in its second episode, something no other show has done. It's got a long way to go but signs are real promising.

The Mindy Project - It is still only in the mid 1s even when New Girl had a nice rise this week. I'm starting to think FOX is going to cancel this one just like Ben and Kate. New Girl can have a better partner.

Ben and Kate/The Mob Doctor - Cancelled

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