Saturday, February 1, 2014

FRESHMAN SCORECARD: February 2014

Here is the Freshman Scorecard for February with several new shows added! As always, these are ranked from best to worst chance for survival at each network. By the March scorecard, we can add About a Boy, Growing Up Fisher, Mind Games, and Mixology to the list!

Past February scorecards: 2013   2012   2011

ABC

The Goldbergs - There's no way ABC is not going to renew this show considering how weak their freshman class has been. All things considered, it's probably been the most consistent performer from ABC's newbies and it's sure to get a renewal. The question is, will they move it to Wednesdays?

Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. - Another slam dunk renewal. These numbers would be noticeably disappointing and troublesome if any other new dramas were working but all of them are or were below the 1.0 demo threshold so a show that's getting above a 2.0 demo regularly is an easy call.

Trophy Wife
- I don't think this one is going to get renewed even though ABC seems like they really wish they could. I think they're going to renew The Goldbergs and call it a day with their other new comedies, including the upcoming Mixology.

The Great Christmas Light Fight - This could come back for another December run. We'll see.

Super Fun Night/Once Upon a Time in Wonderland/Betrayal - No way these are coming back with short episode orders and terrible performances.

Killer Women - Yet the new Killer Women has an even worse chance than the trio listed above. It's getting its short eight episode order cut short by two, that's the final nail in the coffin.

Back in the Game/Lucky 7/The Assets - Cancelled.

CBS

The Crazy Ones - These comedies continue to be incredibly close and could easily go in any order. The Crazy Ones had the lowest demo of the three this week but I still think it has the best chance because the lead-in isn't crazy strong and CBS just seems to love it more than the other two.

Mom - I do think Mom is going to get renewed despite so-so numbers on Monday night. I think CBS has to realize that they're Monday lineup is a little low outside of How I Met Your Mother and at least they know they have a show that's not going to tank badly here. I also think both The Crazy Ones and The Millers would perform worse if they were in Mom's slot.

The Millers - This one could still get renewed too but it keeps coming back to retention for me. The issue that doomed $#*! My Dad Says, Rob, and How to Be a Gentleman will be a problem here too. I feel like CBS will think they can do better with a new sitcom.

Intelligence - After a very promising Tuesday preview, things have plummeted for this show on Monday with Hostages levels. With most of CBS' veteran dramas continuing to perform well, I don't see them bringing this one back.

Hostages - This is more dead than Intelligence but CBS did let it run its full 15 episode season.

We Are Men - Cancelled.

NBC

The Blacklist - Renewed.

Chicago PD - All this show probably needed to do was not fall flat on its face to get renewed. It has not so it's a near sure thing for renewal with NBC probably hoping it will grow like Chicago Fire did.

The Michael J. Fox Show - No way this one is coming back and maybe NBC will learn to stop handing out 22 episode orders without even seeing the quality.

Dracula - I don't see any reason this show comes back unless it's a financial decision because it's cheap and doing well overseas. The ratings here don't merit any type of return.

Welcome to the Family/Ironside/Sean Saves the World - Cancelled.

FOX

Sleepy Hollow - Renewed.

Brooklyn Nine-Nine - The surest non-official renewal on any network now thanks to its stunning Golden Globes wins for Best Comedy Series and Best Lead Actor.

Almost Human - I think this show has overperformed after a weak start on Mondays, but FOX did not extend the episode order and has been airing episodes sporadically which doesn't help its case. However, Rake bombing may help matters.

Dads - It has continued to not crumble and die but I think this has one season show written all over it especially with FOX ending its freshman run in February.

Rake - A non-starter out of the gate on Thursday nights. With so many dramas around and so many more on deck and in development, there's no chance FOX brings back Rake.

Enlisted - Dying a slow death on Friday nights.

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