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Sunday, March 2, 2014

FRESHMAN SCORECARD: March 2014

Here is the Freshman Scorecard for March! As always, these are ranked by network from best to worst chance of survival. By the April scorecard, we can add Resurrection (ABC), Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey (FOX), Believe (NBC), Crisis (NBC), Surviving Jack (FOX), and Friends with Better Lives (CBS) to the list. Also, I wouldn't be surprised if we had some more renewals!

Past March scorecards: 2013   2012   2011

ABC

Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. - ABC's new dramas have been so abysmal and Revenge and Nashville are fading fast. While disappointing given the expectations, a show regularly getting low 2s in the demo is a surefire renewal.

The Goldbergs - ABC's new comedy situation has been almost as dire. While they could cancel all the newbies, I think they'll save one and that will easily be The Goldbergs.

The Great Christmas Light Fight - It could come back next Christmas I suppose.

Trophy Wife - This is not getting a second season despite ABC being in love with it.

Mixology - On the surface, it has a higher number than Trophy Wife but it has only aired one episode. I'm sure things are going to get ugly for this show in the weeks to come.

Mind Games - Another DOA premiere for the Tuesday 10pm slot.

Super Fun Night/Once Upon a Time in Wonderland/Betrayal - All are basically cancelled but not officially. Once Upon a Time in Wonderland finishes its run over the next couple weeks.

Killer Women - Not officially cancelled but yanked with two unaired episode, so that's a pretty sure sign it's a goner.

Back in the Game/Lucky 7/The Assets - Cancelled.

CBS

The Millers - I've changed my tune of which new CBS sitcom has the best chance. For a long time, I blasted The Millers' retention numbers out of The Big Bang Theory. But there's such a big gap in raw numbers now, it's hard to overlook. I think The Millers will get a second season but not in the post-Big Bang slot.

Mom - Mom is still in the least desirable position and doing decently so I think it will be used to continue to help Mondays with How I Met Your Mother ending. If Friends with Better Lives works, this show could be in more trouble.

The Crazy Ones - Things aren't looking as rosy for The Crazy Ones lately. A dip in the ratings, a demotion to 9:30pm, and a season ending early won't help its case. However, it did still do decently in its first 9:30pm outing. There's just not going to be enough room for all three sitcoms and I think this is on the low end of the totem pole now.

Intelligence - No way this show is coming back when its performing worse than all of the CBS veteran dramas.

Hostages - Basically cancelled, but not officially.

We Are Men - Cancelled.

NBC

The Blacklist - Renewed.

Chicago PD - After its series high last week, I expect a renewal announcement any day now.

About a Boy - It got off to a good start and it has The Voice as a lead-in all the way through May. Whether or not that is the reason for bigger numbers, I still think this is getting a renewal.

Growing Up Fisher - If this show can survive a halo effect from The Voice, it could get a second season. The threshold is low for comedies on CBS so even a demo in the mid 1s may be enough to get renewed.

Dracula
- I could see this coming back on Fridays in the fall since it's a cheap option for NBC. We'll see how Hannibal levels off.

Welcome to the Family/Ironside/Sean Saves the World/The Michael J. Fox Show - Cancelled.

FOX

Sleepy Hollow - Renewed.

Brooklyn Nine-Nine - Recent numbers are bad but the Golden Globe win and the low performing comedy slate in general make this a near-sure thing.

Almost Human - This show should be in the conversation for renewal but FOX seems down on it. It has over-performed in the Monday 8pm slot in my opinion, but FOX is not treating it well.

Dads - As good as gone even though its numbers were not much worse than Brooklyn Nine-Nine, The Mindy Project, and even New Girl.

Rake/Enlisted - Airing episodes for now but absolutely zero chance of a second season.

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