THE RUNDOWN: Monday, February 21

ABC
8:00 The Bachelor
10:00 Castle #50 "Set Up" Part 1 
ABC is all new on Monday night and most shows may increase this week as last week was Valentine's Day. This is probably especially true for ABC's female-skewing night. In fact, it would be surprising if these shows went down again.
Prediction: Bachelor - 9.9 million, 3.2/Castle - 9.4 million, 2.4

CBS
8:00 How I Met Your Mother #129 "Garbage Island"
8:30 Mad Love #2 "Friends and Other Obstacles"
9:00 Two and a Half Men #165 "Hookers, Hookers, Hookers" (REPEAT)
9:30 Mike & Molly #17 "Joyce & Vince and Peaches & Herb"
10:00 Hawaii Five-0 #18 "Loa Aloha"
CBS is new for most of the night but Two and a Half Men is a repeat due to star Charlie Sheen's troubles that reduced the episode order by four. They haven't even gone back into production yet so we'll see repeats for awhile. It will be interesting to see how that affects Mike & Molly which has been strong lately. CBS will be happy if it can hold its own with a repeat lead-in and it should be able to do that especially since Men's ratings won't be that bad. The other show to watch is Week 2 of Mad Love which had so-so reviews and a so-so debut. Still, it has a great timeslot so it shouldn't drop that much.
Prediction: Mother - 10.1 million, 3.9/Mad Love - 8.5 million, 2.9/Men - 11.4 million, 3.0/Mike&Molly - 11.9 million, 3.4/Hawaii - 10.9 million, 2.9

NBC
8:00 Chuck #70 "Chuck Versus the Masquerade"
9:00 The Cape #8 "The Lich" Part 2
10:00 Harry's Law #6 "Bangers in the House"
NBC should have more troubles on Monday. Their only moderate success - Harry's Law - is being brought down by the rest of the night. The Cape may sink even further on its way to inevitable cancellation while Chuck could be slightly up after Valentine's Day.
Prediction: Chuck - 5.7 million, 1.8/Cape - 4.2 million, 1.2/Harry's - 8.8 million, 1.6

FOX
8:00 House #145 "Two Stories"
9:00 The Chicago Code #3 "Gillis, Chase, & Babyface"
FOX has its regular Monday lineup which took a big hit last week. House should stabilize but the big question is, will the new The Chicago Code? It had a big drop last week but if it levels off, it may be ok. However, it's probably not done dropping which spells trouble for the new drama.
Prediction: House - 10.4 million, 3.6/Chicago - 7.3 million, 1.9