THE RUNDOWN: Monday, October 25

ABC
8:00 Dancing with the Stars
10:00 Castle #40 "3XK" 
ABC kicks off Week 6 with its usual lineup but there is a bigger Monday Night Football game to compete with. ABC is sometimes preempted for MNF simulcasts. And if that is the case, those are two major markets in play. Because of that, numbers could be down slightly.

Prediction: Dancing – 18.8 million, 3.8/Castle – 10.5 million, 2.4

CBS

8:00 How I Met Your Mother #118 "Baby Talk"

8:30 Rules of Engagement #54 "Baked"

9:00 Two and a Half Men #167 "Twanging Your Magic Clanger"

9:30 Mike & Molly #6 "Mike's Apartment"

10:00 Hawaii Five-0 #6 "Ko'olauloa"

CBS has its usual mix of comedy and Hawaii Five-0. Hawaii has yet to stop slipping in the demo which is bad news for CBS but it’s hard to imagine it could drop much more. The comedies should be fairly steady.

Prediction: Mother – 8.3 million, 3.4/Rules – 8.2 million, 3.1/Men – 14.0 million, 4.3/Mike&Molly – 11.1 million, 3.5/Hawaii – 10.8 million, 2.9

NBC

8:00 Chuck #60 "Chuck Versus the Aisle of Terror" (Halloween)

9:00 The Event #6 "Loyalty"

10:00 Chase #6 "Havoc"

NBC has its usual drama lineup with three shows just given full seasons last week. They responded by finally stabilizing in the ratings. Is this a good sign or a mirage? We’ll see how they do this week. My guess is similar numbers.

Prediction: Chuck – 5.3 million, 2.0/Event – 6.2 million, 2.2/Chase – 5.4 million, 1.7

FOX
8:00 House #114 "The Tyrant" (REPEAT)

9:00 Lie to Me #39 "Double Blind"

FOX is airing a repeat of House in the last week before November Sweeps. House doesn’t repeat as well as it used to and that could also negatively impact Lie to Me’s already low numbers.

Prediction: House – 5.2 million, 1.8/Lie to Me – 5.0 million, 1.7